Dashboard
Global Macro Surveillance
Last updated: —
Region
Country
Macro Regime Flight Pattern
Real GDP YoY 3‑mo Δ vs CPI YoY 3‑mo Δ (trailing 18m)GDP Growth
3.21%
(prev 2.58%)Lower than 51% of history
Real, last quarter, annualized, seasonally‑adjusted.
Inflation Rate
2.71%
(prev 2.77%)Lower than 63% of history
Last 12 months, seasonally‑adjusted.
Unemployment Rate
4.33%
(prev 4.1%)Lower than 88% of history
Seasonally‑adjusted.
Volatility Index
22.59
(prev 17.61)Higher than 63% of history
CBOE VIX.
Federal Funds Rate
4.25%
(prev 4.3%)Lower than 58% of history
Effective rate.
Housing Starts
1224k
(prev 1332k)Lower than 62% of history
New privately owned units started.
Personal Consumption Growth
0.63%
(prev 0.82%)Lower than 71% of history
Real, last month, annualized, SA.
Personal Income Growth
-0.11%
(prev 0.18%)Lower than 76% of history
Real, last month, annualized, SA.
Regime View
MAPLate CycleRQS 75%Restrictive
Growth
Robust Growth
Inflation
Moderate (2-4%)
Policy
Tightening
EarlyMidLateRecession
Cycle probabilities
Early
10%
Mid
20%
Late
60%
Recession
10%
Change Feed
2024-03-20 09:30negative
Fed maintains restrictive stance, signals delayed pivot
market
2024-03-20 09:15positive
Quality factor showing improved breadth
factor
2024-03-20 09:00neutral
Manager XYZ experiencing significant outflows
alert
dEQ Eligibility Status
ValueEligible
GrowthEligible
Small CapEligible
InternationalEligible